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Abu-Hijleh, S F (1991) A model for variance-based exception reporting with user-defined criteria, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Al-Bahar, J F (1988) Risk management in construction projects: A systematic analytical approach for contractors, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Al-Tubayyeb, S A (1989) Improving construction contract administration utilizing multiattribute statistical analysis on bid stage information, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Alarcon-Cardenas, L F (1992) Project performance modeling: A methodology for evaluating project execution strategies, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Alves, T d C L (2005) Buffering practices in HVAC ductwork supply chains, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Arroyo, P (2014) Exploring decision-making methods for sustainable design in commercial buildings, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Aviram Traubita, A (2009) Structural response and cost characterization of bridge construction using seismic performance enhancement strategies, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Banerjee, S (2007) Statistical, empirical and mechanistic fragility analysis of concrete bridges, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Irvine.

Bascoul, A M (2017) Managing project structural complexity by integrating facility management in planning, designing, and execution of high-end facility upgrades, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Benne, B C (2005) Managing AEC project organizations at the edge of chaos: An analysis of AEC projects' adaptive capacity from a living systems perspective, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Blampied, N B (2018) Parametric functions for conceptual and feasibility estimating in public highway project portfolios, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Boysen, J (1982) Aggregate project model for resource allocation within multiproject construction systems, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Bruni, M (1981) Business cycles and seasonality in the Italian construction sector, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Cayer, A F (2018) Design and profit: Architectural practice in the age of accumulation, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Los Angeles.

Chen, C (2015) A proactive approach for change management and control on construction projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Chih, Y-Y (2010) A decision-support framework for choosing a project delivery system (PDS) in a multi-project environment, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California.

Cho, S K (2011) The relation between lean construction and performance in the Korean construction industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Choi, K (2008) A new decision-support model for innovative contracting strategies through a quantitative analysis on aspects of project performance, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Choo, H J (2003) Distributed planning and coordination to support lean construction, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Cuff, D C (1982) Negotiating architecture: a study of architects and clients in design practice, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

de Leon, D E (1996) Integrating socioeconomics in the development of criteria for optimal aseismic design of r/c buildings, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Irvine.

Derrington, P A (1981) Controlling the quality of professional performance in architectural practice, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

El-Sersy, A H E (1992) An intelligent data model for schedule updating, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Elfving, J A (2003) Exploration of opportunities to reduce lead times for engineered-to-order products, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Elvin, G A (1998) A process model for integrated design and construction, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Esmaili, O (2014) Developing a rapid seismic performance based rating system in safety assessment of buildings, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Irvine.

Feng, P P-Y (2009) Causes and effects of rework on the delivery of healthcare facilities in California, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Frandson, A (2019) Takt time planning as a work structuring method to improve construction work flow, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Galanis, P (2014) Probabilistic methods to identify seismically hazardous older-type concrete frame buildings, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Gil, N A P d A P (2001) Product-process development simulation to support specialty contractor involvement in early design, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Gillen, M E (1996) Nonfatal falls in construction workers: Predictors of injury severity, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, San Francisco.

Hamzeh, F R (2009) Improving construction workflow: The role of production planning and control, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Hecht, H R (2001) Development of major transportation projects in California, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Davis.

Hitchcock, R J (1996) Improving life-cycle information management through documentation of project objectives and design rationale, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Huang, Y (2010) Sustainable infrastructure system modeling under uncertainties and dynamics, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Davis.

Huang, Y-L (1995) Project and policy analysis of build-operate-transfer infrastructure development, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Ibbs, C W J (1980) Risk, complex decision-making and the application of multiattribute utility analysis in the construction industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Jabbari, A (2020) Project planning algorithms: Lowering cost and improving delivery time in capital projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Jackson, R M (1981) A right to a job: A sociological history of carpentry and printing craft labor markets in the United States, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Jones, R C, III (1991) An economic analysis of national society of professional engineers versus United States, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Los Angeles.

Kardon, J B (2003) The standard of care of structural engineers, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Kartman, S A (1995) Reengineering construction planning systems, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Kim, Y-W (2002) The implications of a new production paradigm for project cost control, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Kobayashi, Y (2001) Three-dimensional city modeler with fuzzy multiple layers perceptron: Application of soft computing in computer-aided architectural design systems, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Los Angeles.

Kuprenas, J A (1988) Use of influence diagrams to assess the cost and schedule impact of construction changes, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Lee, C Y-H (2010) A probabilistic approach to the life-cycle cost assessment of preventive maintenance strategies on flexible pavements, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Davis.

Lee, E B (2000) Constructability and productivity analysis for long life pavement rehabilitation strategies (LLPRS), Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Lee, H W (2012) Application of target value design to energy efficiency investments, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Lee, S (2007) Understanding and quantifying the impact of changes on construction labor productivity: Integration of productivity factors and quantification methods, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Leino, J L (2008) Community and private sector approaches to development in Kenya, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Levinson, D M (1998) On whom the toll falls: A model of network financing, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Lin, M-C (2000) Contract design of private infrastructure concessions, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Lin, S L (2021) Environmental risk and delay analysis: Lessons learned from the california high speed rail project, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Los Angeles.

Liu, H (2013) Adaptive optimization methods in system-level bridge management, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Liu, M (2007) Work flow variability and labor productivity loss for construction projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Meng, S (2023) Development of a regional wind risk assessment framework for wood-frame single-family residential building stock, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Los Angeles.

Milberg, C T (2006) Application of tolerance management to civil systems, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Minato, T (1994) A methodology for project risk control: A work package-based approach using historical cost control data, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Moaveni, B (2007) System and damage identification of civil structures, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, San Diego.

Montoya, J L (2023) Promoting equitable pathways in engineering and career technical education, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Irvine.

Nguyen, H V (2010) Process-based cost modeling to support target value design, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Nguyen, L d (2007) The dynamics of float, logic, resource allocation, and delay timing in forensic schedule analysis and construction delay claims, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Ostovar, M (2023) Environmental and social life cycle assessment (LCA) in transport infrastructure, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Davis.

Pace, C B (1999) A factor-based three dimensional model of the process of new technology development in the construction engineering industry, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Parrish, K D (2009) Applying a set-based design approach to reinforcing steel design, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Peri, C A (2003) Impact of media on spatial communication: From paper to collaborative virtual environments, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Pridmore, A B (2009) Development of composite renewal systems for rapid rehabilitation and construction of bridge decks, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, San Diego.

Prozzi, J A (2001) Modeling pavement performance by combining field and experimental data, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Ross, D G (1970) The construction of the railroads of Central America, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Santa Barbara.

Santero, N J (2009) Pavements and the environment: A life-cycle assessment approach, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Shirley, C L M (2000) Firm inventory behavior and the returns from infrastructure investment, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Songer, A D (1992) Toward an improved understanding of public sector design-build planning, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Staneff, S T (1997) A decision support system for infrastructure management, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Sun, X (2016) Proposed improvements to the MCAA method for quantifying construction loss of productivity, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Tien, I (2014) Bayesian network methods for modeling and reliability assessment of infrastructure systems, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Tobolski, M J (2010) Improving the design and performance of concrete bridges in seismic regions, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, San Diego.

Tombesi, P (1997) Travels from flatland: The Walt Disney concert hall and the specialization of design knowledge in the building sector, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Los Angeles.

Tsai, M-T (2008) Real option-based procurement for transportation services, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Irvine.

• Type: Thesis
• Keywords: real options; uncertainty; logistics; markets; pricing; market
• ISBN/ISSN:
• URL: https://www.proquest.com/docview/304650187
• Abstract:
  Uncertainty in transportation capacity and cost poses a significant challenge for both shippers and carriers in the trucking industry. In the practice of adopting lean and demand-responsive logistics systems, orders are required to be delivered rapidly, accurately and reliably, even under demand uncertainty. These tougher demands on the industry motivate the need to introduce new instruments to manage transportation service contracts. One way to hedge these uncertainties is to use concepts from the theory of Real Options to craft derivative contracts, which we call truckload options in this dissertation. In its simplest form, a truckload call (put) option gives its holder the right to buy (sell) truckload services on a specific route, at a predetermined price on a predetermined date. The holder decides if a truckload option should be exercised depending on information available when the option expires. Truckload options are not yet available, however, so the purpose of this dissertation is to develop a truckload options pricing model and to show the usefulness of truckload options to both shippers and carriers. Since the price of a truckload option depends on the spot price of a truckload move, we first model the dynamics of spot rates using a common stochastic process. Unlike financial markets where high frequency data are available, spot prices for trucking services are not public and we can only observe some monthly statistics. This complicates somewhat the estimation of necessary parameters, which we obtain via two independent methods (variogram analysis and maximum likelihood), before developing a truckload options pricing formula. Finally, a numerical illustration based on real data shows that truckload options would be quite valuable to the trucking industry. This dissertation develops a method to create value through more flexible procurement contracts, which could benefit the trucking industry as a whole—particularly in an uncertain business environment. Truckload rates and options prices are rigorously investigated and modeled. In addition, parameter estimation for a continuous stochastic model is explored using discrete statistics. Finally, numerical examples are illustrated and a picture of truckload option trading is presented. Results suggest that truckload options have the potential of significantly benefiting the trucking and logistics industries.

Tsao, C C Y (2005) Use of work structuring to increase performance of project-based production systems, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Tuholski, S J (2008) Transformation, flow, and value constellations in AEC projects, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Vanichvatana, S (1993) Predicting consequential effects of construction project changes, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Vieira, P M d S (2007) Environmental assessment of office buildings, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Viljoen, P S (1981) Incentive management techniques for pavement rehabilitation construction, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Wang, K (2017) Real options models for better investment decisions in road infrastructure under demand uncertainty, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Irvine.

Whelton, M G (2004) The development of purpose in the project definition phase of construction projects: Implications for project management, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.

Williams, L M (2000) Strategic decision support for project portfolio management in the public sector, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Los Angeles.

Wong, J-M (2008) Extending performance-based design methods by applying structural engineering design patterns, Unpublished PhD Thesis, , University of California, Berkeley.